Cactus Jack
Vanilla Townie
- Joined
- Apr 1, 2024
- Messages
- 90
Wait, why does this matter? I think mafia takes greater priority, but it shouldn't matter whether we kill SK in between.Going mafia>SK>Mafia is the absolute worst way to go about it. We need to either kill all mafia back to back or kill the SK first.
I agree with others that he’s the most likely candidate for Rajah.I am currently leaning Cody Rhodes but am open to persuasion.
I'm typing this pretty fast so I'm sorry if I come off as abrasiveIf Rhea is a scum, I would imagine .....the things that I am not going to specifically spell out. And beyond just listing out people, we should be holding people accountable for their logic.
I just feel like you read two posts and closed down to the possibility after you were certain on Mick. I'd listed off multiple reasons why I might be wrong about Rhea, but you had me as "less towny" because Rhea gave a list. Obviously, you've course-corrected, but I have a small list of people who I think we can get good engagement on a solve with, and I think that this is not a "give them a pass" situation.
Which is why I generally don't get moved by the just lists or "i like this person". Not saying there's no value, but the engagement is where people are going to slip.
It matters because when we eliminate an evil faction, we reduce evil kill power. It would be more efficient to fully eliminate one faction before going after the other.Wait, why does this matter? I think mafia takes greater priority, but it shouldn't matter whether we kill SK in between.
Do you have previous reasons to scumread any of Seth, Harry, Mankind, and me?I was obviously trying to pull more out of Cody. I really didn't like that short post, it feels like he knows he's been identified and is giving up.
As for who else I think could be scum, I really don't know, so I suspect everyone and I suspect no one. There are reasons to somewhat clear people, and reasons not to trust what people have said, nor what the write up says. There have been games where scum has been able to earn an extra action at night, or to be able to include a fake action in the writeup. Scum would typically want to use a fake action as a frame or to clear one of their own.
We have also had wishes in this game. I wonder if the double kill where Dude killed Mick was a result of a wish, as Jafar said he granted all wishes. I believe that Dude had wished for and been given a gun, but that Void messed with it mechanically to take out the shooter as well. I know this as I had wished to know what someone else had wished for, and found out that "someone" was getting a gun. Since my own wish was messed with because I thought I would find out who wished for it, it only makes sense that the gun wish was also messed with. Unless of course there are other guns out there. Jafar did say our wishes were boring.
I did very much like Harry Dresden's thought that Gargamel could still be rezzed. My thought was that maybe he's coming back, but because of how our bastard mod likes to mess with us, his option to come back is only as a stump.
After Cody and Jade, I think I want to take a look more closely at Seth, Harry, and Cactus/Mankind. Not sure what order on these.
Ok, but at any point that we kill the SK, their kill power is fully reduced. By that argument technically taking out the SK first is the more optimal option.It matters because when we eliminate an evil faction, we reduce evil kill power. It would be more efficient to fully eliminate one faction before going after the other.
Just clarifying that if I was silenced, I wasn't informed. My absence is due to my match schedule(aka IRL)A poison silence would be weird.
I know when I was silenced, if I had not messed up and missed my message I would have still been allowed to vote.
This is Cactus's last post. A "coma" type potion is something I've not heard of. If you were scum, staying away just to stay away would seem weird. But maybe I'm just projecting, because I would never want to just to watch the thread and not try to engage.
The poison I can't figure out, but maybe that is the right variable?
Because that would lead to more people dying to evil KP than if we were to focus one of the factions first.Ok, but at any point that we kill the SK, their kill power is fully reduced. By that argument technically taking out the SK first is the more optimal option.
I'm not saying we SHOULD kill the SK first, but I don't see how this argument says we shouldn't kill the SK in between mafia flips?
How? That's my point.Because that would lead to more people dying to evil KP than if we were to focus one of the factions first.
I think VK tends to do pre-night actions separated by a line. My guess is VK either acted twice that night or the initial paragraph was the setup for what came later.I would invite everyone to read the underlined portions and answer whether they think voidkitten was able to act twice in one night or whether the monitors portion is a pre-night action or flavor.
I'm gonna pound my head on a lockerKilling SK in between mafia flips allows SK to make more kills than if we kill SK first without reducing the mafia kills.
If people think that mafia is a greater threat, I don't see why they wouldn't just want to go all the way.
"Fellow town," you say?I was saying that I don't think Cody has been silenced, because he did post more than just his vote. As far as we can tell, his vote has not been taken away. If Cody is not silenced, then why the short antagonistic post? Me calling on Cody to engage more could provide information, and he doesn't seem willing to do so.
I welcome investigation to prove that I am town, and I will be able to help town more going forward. We all have to be cautious about claiming/breadcrumbing as it is against the rules, and a modkill would hurt town even more. I think I have come awfully close as it is.
I regret that have already let my fellow town down too much because of my availability and play, and the attention it has caused on me, when there are scum running amok, either being vocal or sitting back. Probably both.
I can confirm that that is what they said."Fellow town," you say?
IMO, we gain a greater advantage of taking out the SK if his kill ability works the way it has been theorized (by killing those that visit the person he watches). He took out two in one night. We just got lucky that they were scum and not town. On the flip side, I can’t recall any evidence that scum can take out more than one person per night.Ok, but at any point that we kill the SK, their kill power is fully reduced. By that argument technically taking out the SK first is the more optimal option.
I'm not saying we SHOULD kill the SK first, but I don't see how this argument says we shouldn't kill the SK in between mafia flips?
Their perspective was matching my own tbh. I also had no reasons to suspect you on prior days but now I think there is gotta be at least one mafia there.Do you have previous reasons to scumread any of Seth, Harry, Mankind, and me?
Do you have previous reasons to scumread any of Seth, Harry, Mankind, and me?
That's fine, but you're kind of using a double standard. Other people are engaging in analysis, and you have been at conclusion for a few days. I went through multiple reasons why Rhea could be scum or OMGSUS. For you, it reads as every incident is confirmation you are correct.I'm typing this pretty fast so I'm sorry if I come off as abrasive
But I feel like most of the reasons to think that Rhea is scum are pretty silly/plausibly explainable to be coming from a town POV
There is their vote on D3 over either of the wagoned wolves. But I maintain that it is very plausible that the wolves weren't actually trying to save Glinda with the exception of the two already outed wolves. There are three wolves still alive. There is only one unflipped person on your wagon. So clearly the wolves weren't all trying to save Glinda there. It's possible that Rhea voted you before I pointed out that Glinda was outed but, uh, I'd say that they had a pretty good reason for it considering that you killed them prior to that.
So it's just a bunch of reasons that aren't exactly a great look for Rhea but could also be a townie who just said a couple of ill worded sentences and voted the wrong person once and I'm sitting here all confused wondering if that is really the best that we as a collective can do today.
The reasons that make me think that Rhea might be town are:
1) I like this person
2) They started the day alluding to having some town role and speculated about what Merlin's role could be based on their own role. They obviously provided no evidence for it but in my experience those kinds of posts are very often just townies being truthful about their role. If your experience is different, then that is a fair rebuttal.
3)They are being voted by people who I either don't entirely trust, or outright suspect. Now that point is especially important to me right now because with how close to reaching parity with the town the wolves are I don't see why they wouldn't just stack on a villager today to seal the deal. This wagon on Rhea with the only other alternative being the SK candidate makes me very worried that town is sleepwalking into a loss.
No, but that is my point. Rhea has said a bunch things that could really be read both ways. So why are we killing them instead of a scummier person?In your own post, you say there are things that don't look good, but simultaneously dismiss them as silly.
And you could pretty much read your own reasons as could be from another perspective as well.
That was my interpretation.Dude is listed as the House. Does anyone think that he could be multiple house of mtr names? Tildey is unaccounted for, but Future was identified.
I actually started a spreadsheet today
Well, I don't actually think you consider them to be scummy You've had them in your most trusted town, including higher than a person who got poisoned at one point.No, but that is my point. Rhea has said a bunch things that could really be read both ways. So why are we killing them instead of a scummier person?
that might do something like pair up ds and tildey then.That was my interpretation.
How so, I wonder? I just went through every night post and I didn't see them get targeted by a town action once (nor a scum action, for that matter).I have Rhea ruled out of a lot of town roles, and they could be almost any of the scum roles. And I've got some gameplay things I see.
lol. Like it seems less than 50. But I can talk myself in and out of almost anyone at this point.Imagine if Cody Rhodes is town
Wouldn't that be something
I just read through all the vote posts when i was spreadsheeting. One thing I noted was that a lot of actions don't have named targets. Take a look through, and maybe you'll have a similar conclusion.How so, I wonder? I just went through every night post and I didn't see them get targeted by a town action once (nor a scum action, for that matter).
absolutely, the critique thing wasn't about you personally. Everybody was a bit of hyperbole there.Oh I wasn't criticizing the shot
I was just appalled at the audacity of Mick Foley flipping town there
Alright, I think I understand what you're saying now.I just read through all the vote posts when i was spreadsheeting. One thing I noted was that a lot of actions don't have named targets. Take a look through, and maybe you'll have a similar conclusion.
Just what this game does to meWhy are you deserting your team
I do not like this one bit.Vote: Sirius Black
Reminder that I am mafia, have always been mafia, and will always be mafia this game.
Ha, look at this loser villager having to solve by reading ISOs and shit.Dresden has had a lot of good posts from what I recall.
Mankind has push Rhea pretty consistent for at least 2 phases.
Going to get into their ISOs and see if anything stands out.
As much as I think this self claiming wolf BS... its hard to trust and take you seriously after pushing soo many town.Ha, look at this loser villager having to solve by reading ISOs and shit.
He may have been blocked by Dr Strange as well, seeing as Rajah wasn't active last night. Or do we think that Rajah only acts on evens?Cody's been silenced. Not a big loss with his contributions thus far, I don't think. Somebody tried to kill Cody, wouldn't have been a big loss if it had succeeded. Cody is pretty much irrelevant this game day.
Well, he's only acted on evens so far. There did seem to be some RB's on N3, and a mass RB on 1, plus one today too. It's entirely possible he just got really unlucky with being blocked every odd night.He may have been blocked by Dr Strange as well, seeing as Rajah wasn't active last night. Or do we think that Rajah only acts on evens?
Unvote:Well, you could also both self vote in a show of trust to each other.
You’re right that it doesn’t matter for today, but it’s worth noting for whoever is left next phase. If it was a bpv situation then it lends credence to the theory that he was the SK and if it’s been popped then he’s vulnerable. Of course, the poison might take him out, I suppose.Cody's been silenced. Not a big loss with his contributions thus far, I don't think. Somebody tried to kill Cody, wouldn't have been a big loss if it had succeeded. Cody is pretty much irrelevant this game day.
I’m willing to do that. Not willing to self vote.We could have a pact between Harry and I. We both abstain from voting today, leaving it to everybody else.
We could have a pact between Harry and I. We both abstain from voting today, leaving it to everybody else.
Respect to both of you!I’m willing to do that. Not willing to self vote.
Unvote:
A lot of my argument had to do with them not voting Rhea, trying to prop up her questioning of me in a way that could be setting up to shade me, and then arguing that we should kill the SK first in the face of wolf!Rhea being a main wagonMankind voted for Rhea, Harry did not. Though Mankind was in the second slot which always raises alarm bells.
So unless the team is exactly Cactus Jack/Harry Potter, someone was bussing on D3.Final Day 3 Vote Count:
Glinda - 7 (Sirius Black #1128, Cody Rhodes #1140, Jafar #1151, Seth Rollins #1207, Mankind #1222, Dude Love #1246, Harry Dresden #1248)
Dr Strange - 5 (Gargamel #1064, Rhea Ripley #1154, Glinda #1215, Pug #1225, Mick Foley #1232)
Pug - 2 (Jade Cargill #867, Merlin #988)
Not Voting: Cactus Jack, Dr Strange, Harry Potter
So Harry was definitely gunning for SK yesterdayIMO, we gain a greater advantage of taking out the SK if his kill ability works the way it has been theorized (by killing those that visit the person he watches). He took out two in one night. We just got lucky that they were scum and not town. On the flip side, I can’t recall any evidence that scum can take out more than one person per night.
Mankind voted Ripley but said they weren't opposed to killing SK eitherObligatory wtf about the double day kill here. It removes Dude Love and Mick Foley, neither of which were my preferred choices for lynching.
The serial killer, if they work as assumed, is only going to get scarier as the game gets fewer and fewer players. There are now fewer people for anybody to choose from, and obvious targets for both protections and kills. SK targets one of the obvious people and you could see 2 or three kills from them alone.
Rhea is still my top mafia pick. I don't think they're the serial killer.
Serial killers are always a challenge, though. Being alone, it's a lot easier to act town. However, being too scary for wolves makes them an obvious night kill target, so there is a definite motivation to stay more on the quiet side.
Sirius was the one to suggest how the SK works in relation to Glinda's death, which was used as justification for Glinda's lynch. I did say at the time it's possible he was the SK leaking info on his role to scum hunt and appear town, but he is really active and confrontational, putting targets on himself left and right for both lynch and NK. I am leaning to him not being the SK.
The obvious place to look is in the less active users. Cody Rhodes definitely fits the bill. He was my 2nd favourite choice for lynch earlier.
Paranoia in me has me wonder if Harry Dresden is Rajah. Not very active, but kind of active as they come in with a townie seeming post here and there, but not so much as to really draw the attention of the scum team. It feels kind of like they're hitting the perfect desired balance for a serial killer. I don't think we should lynch them at this point, but I do think it should be in peoples' minds going forward.
I suppose ultimately we have to decide who we need to kill more. Is it the mafia, or the serial killer? I think the mafia has had 3 confirmed deaths, one of which was a traitor. I assume they have at least 2 members left.
I think the way to go is to slim down the mafia further for today and then hunt for the SK tomorrow. They're closer to winning than a SK is, and alive they can hit the mafia too if we're lucky. If we try for the SK and hit a townie, then mafia could capitalize on that. I'm not strongly opposed to trying to kill the SK, but I think mafia is a better target right now.
Vote: Rhea Ripley
What would be your read on Mankind if it wasn't for the duel situation?I’m willing to do that. Not willing to self vote.
Unvote:
Who would you want to Lynch today if you had the choice?Overall, I like his posts and in general think he seems good, but there's nothing strong to tell me he is town. If it weren't for this event, I wouldn't want to lynch him today, but I could not say for sure that that I was convinced that he wasn't mafia or Rajah.
I know I’m town. And I lean town for you. The only ones that win today will be scum. Which sucks. I have no idea what role you have, but I know that mine is absolutely advantageous to town. There’s not really a way to convey how advantageous, though, without claiming (which still gets me dead).A quick skim of the writeups, it looks like Harry Dresden hasn't been targeted by anybody at all. I hadn't been targeted by anybody until last night when Caito visited me. That barely narrows anything down, and admittedly not in my favour.
Maybe neither of us getting targeted was the reason the council chose the two of us to be the only ones that can be eliminated.
As I said to him, I think this TvT. I don’t like Cody, Jade, or Cactus. Their ISO’s are terrible and I struggle to find anything productive in what I see.What would be your read on Mankind if it wasn't for the duel situation?
Who do you think the mafia are?
@Harry Dresden
You didn’t ask me, but I would yeet Cody if we had the option today. I think he’s the SK and his bpv got popped last night.Who would you want to Lynch today if you had the choice?