Getting my reads out now, been data dumping through the morning, so will have missed anything after like 8:30. I'm going mostly off memory, so there's a chance I'm missing something or made a mistake. We still have some time to shoot holes.
Threat Levels
Red-I feel like there's danger here. A bare minimum should be highest vetting priority
Orange-I can't mentally build a good town case-could go either way
Yellow-Most likely safe, there might be something that just keeps me from 90% (as an example my respect for Psych means he will never rank a lower threat than yellow. even if we're masons together.)
Green-Feel strongly confident in a town read.
People within colors are in no particular order
Green-
Jarrod-Jarrod passed my early test. This is probably town Jarrod. I think scum jarrod usually comes in and votes for claws. The only motivation I could see for not is if he wants to pocket me as his primary defender prior to that vote. Still feels low probability
Kareemah-her case was pretty succinct and strong. Not a lot yesterday changed. If I'm very wrong, and she is scum, I would suspect a less active partner.
MTR- Seems town mtr, although like jarrod, I was a little thrown early. Was the Caito counter train. Only break this glass in case of emergency. Although the claws train is understandable, nobody should get bonus points for being on it. Mtr's train now had 1 known town on it now, but there are still 2 people on POI list on it. Maybe he's light green on it.
Yellow-I'm to get some of my deep dives out here, so they're on record for folks, in case they're helpful as the game progresses.
Peter-Early Caito voter. yellow instead of green, because we should know better than ruling out all trains at this point. I have a bit of a fear that there could be a sacrifice play (claws read on Peter contradicts exact plays I've set up with Peter in scum chat, his first game he was almost sole survivor in one of the most complex games I've ever played), but anyone who looks at that unless late game gets desperate is probably stretching or on agenda. Welcome Blind Ninja.
VK-Probably town. Satsu tied the Caito vote. My respect for Voidkitten's scum game stops this from going too far into green. My deep conspiracy is around Vk talked about him throwing a vote on scum teammates early, and that it was a 50/50 in a game where Caito seemed disengaged. it would be a great clear play. I don't think this should be a high priority, and is probably only relevant if there are a few mislynches and he's still alive and looks wolfy. If he's not clean, we're probably in a bad place. But an ounce of prevention and all that. Nobody moves up on trust when we're wrong. But not a real change, and still only on the deep conspiracy list.
LDG-I do not currently have a read on her, but I think it will become apparent eventually if we need to worry. Also, the LDG should be in yellow font. Without a vote, sadly, I'm going to need to upgrade LDG to Orange. Although i will keep her with yellow font. I'm hoping she will have the opportunity to get her vote in early this phase.
Orange
Windward-I pivoted between yellow and orange here. Windward seems like a strong player, and I have no baseline on them to be really confident in my reads. My gut says their approach is more consistent with a default town approach, but that's little more than gut. Obviously would be better if they have a vote on record last phase, but did not get the feeling at all that they were avoiding. The orange ranking is more reflective of my own lack of confidence in reading an experienced player that is new to our group than any definitive point. Same thing. None of us get to move up on trust when we're wrong. She at least seemed willing to take matt, so if he is dirty, that helps her a bit, even with the later flip to claws.
but I was referring to this post.
